A New Tool To Gauge How Climate Change Could Impact Your Region

A New Tool To Gauge How Climate Change Could Impact Your Region:

How bad are the storms, flooding, and other disasters going to be in 20 years? This new simulation can help governments plan.

So you want to start preparing your region or city for climate change. You might look at one of the many reports predicting the problems that a warming planet will bring. But as you try to delve into regional or local details, the uncertainty of what might happen increases. A new technique from MIT researchers aims to quantify regional outcomes from climate change--and the uncertainty involved.
The tool combines climate analysis data used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change with the MIT Integrated Global System Modeling framework (a computer model that examines economic data and natural systems). "We need to consider range of causes of uncertainty [in climate change]. The technique is a way to combine not only factors contributing to uncertainty on the science side, but also uncertainty in economics," explains MIT researcher Adam Schlosser. "By combining these two effects, we can build hybrid frequency distribution--a way of representing the chances of all possible outcomes."
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